Last updated on May 12, 2024
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Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
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Multiple of Invested Capital (MOIC)
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Net Present Value (NPV)
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TVPI and DPI
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Hit Rate and Exit Rate
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Here’s what else to consider
Venture capital (VC) is a form of financing that provides funds to startups and early-stage companies with high growth potential. VC firms invest in exchange for equity or ownership stakes in the companies they back. But how do they measure the success of their investments and their own performance as investors? Here are some common performance metrics that VC firms and their limited partners (LPs) use to evaluate their portfolio companies and their fund returns.
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- Rodrigo Ferreira LP | Backing VCs across the 🌍 and doubling down on their breakout founders
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- 🎯 Pawel Maj I share my knowledge and experience as ex-partner of three VC and PE-growth funds, as well as a startup fundraising…
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1 Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
IRR is the annualized rate of return that a VC fund generates for its LPs over the life of the fund. It takes into account the timing and size of the cash flows between the fund and the LPs, such as capital calls, distributions, and management fees. IRR is a widely used metric because it reflects the time value of money and the opportunity cost of investing in a VC fund. However, IRR also has some limitations, such as being sensitive to outliers, being difficult to compare across different funds and time periods, and being influenced by the valuation methods used by the fund managers.
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Imagine a scenario where you invest a series of amounts at different points in time, and then receive a series of cash flows (returns) at different points in time as well. The IRR essentially calculates the discount rate that makes the sum of the discounted future cash flows equal to the sum of the initial investments. In simpler terms, it reflects the annualized growth rate of an investment.
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- Sagar Agrawal Founder at Qubit Capital | Investment Banker | Helping Startups Raise Funds Globally
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IRR measures the annualized rate of return that an investment generates over its holding period. It accounts for the timing and magnitude of cash flows, providing insight into the overall profitability of the investment.
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2 Multiple of Invested Capital (MOIC)
MOIC is the ratio of the total value of a VC fund's portfolio to the total amount of capital invested by the fund. It measures the absolute return that a fund generates for its LPs, regardless of the time horizon or the timing of the cash flows. MOIC is a simple and intuitive metric that can be easily calculated and compared across different funds and stages. However, MOIC does not account for the risk-adjusted return or the opportunity cost of investing in a VC fund. Moreover, MOIC can be misleading if the fund's portfolio value is based on unrealized gains or subjective valuations.
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Let's shift focus to a specific investment within a VC portfolio. MOIC, or Multiple of Invested Capital, measures the value an investment has returned relative to the amount of capital initially invested. Imagine you invest $1 million in a startup, and that startup is later acquired for $10 million. The MOIC in this scenario would be 10x, indicating a very successful investment.MOIC provides a clear picture of how efficiently a VC firm invests its capital. A consistently high MOIC across a portfolio suggests a VC's ability to identify promising startups and generate substantial returns for their LPs.
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Curious about the art of gauging a venture capital fund's performance? Ever heard of MOIC, or Multiple of Invested Capital? Picture this: It's like measuring how many times your initial bet has multiplied in the high-stakes poker game of investing. Simple, right? MOIC tells you the raw score—how much bang you're getting for your buck, without the frills of time constraints or cash flow timings. But beware, this number can be a siren’s call, alluring yet potentially deceptive if based on those tricky unrealized gains or optimistic valuations. #divineintervention #gabenfreude
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3 Net Present Value (NPV)
NPV is the difference between the present value of a VC fund's future cash flows and the present value of its initial investment. It measures the profitability of a fund by discounting its future cash flows by a certain rate, which reflects the risk and opportunity cost of investing in the fund. NPV is a comprehensive metric that incorporates both the absolute and the time-adjusted return of a fund. However, NPV also depends on the choice of the discount rate, which can vary depending on the assumptions and preferences of the fund managers and the LPs.
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Net Present Value (NPV) is a widely used financial metric that calculates the present value of all future cash flows generated by an investment, discounted at an appropriate rate. In the context of venture capital, NPV helps investors assess the value of an investment opportunity by considering the timing and risk associated with future cash flows. A positive NPV suggests that the investment is expected to generate returns that exceed the initial capital outlay, making it an attractive opportunity for investors. Conversely, a negative NPV indicates that the investment is not expected to generate sufficient returns to justify the capital investment.
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- Elon Salfati Doubling Startups Success | $1M ARR Product-Market Fit | Salfati Group CEO 🇮🇱🇨🇭🇺🇸
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🔹 Do your calculations, but remember the discount rate you use is critical. It reflects the risk and opportunity cost of your fund, so it should be chosen carefully.🔹 Understanding your fund's NPV in isolation isn't enough. Compare it with the NPVs of other funds in the same sector or stage. 🔹 Lastly, while NPV is a comprehensive measure, it should not be used alone. Always verify with other metrics to get the complete picture of your fund's performance.🔹 To calculate NPV, you need to subtract the present value of your initial investment from the present value of your future cash flows. This involves discounting these future cash flows by a set rate, which reflects the risk and opportunity cost of the fund.
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- Elon Salfati Doubling Startups Success | $1M ARR Product-Market Fit | Salfati Group CEO 🇮🇱🇨🇭🇺🇸
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NPV calculation is crucial for appreciating the intrinsic economic benefit of investments.🔹 Choose a discount rate aligned with risk profile and market conditions. 🔹 Avoid overly optimistic future cash flow forecasts to prevent NPV overestimation. 🔹 Cross-verify NPV with other performance metrics for a holistic view.Effective NPV management underpins informed and rational investment decisions.
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4 TVPI and DPI
TVPI and DPI are two related metrics that measure the realized and unrealized returns of a VC fund. TVPI stands for total value to paid-in capital, and it is the sum of DPI and RVPI. DPI stands for distributed to paid-in capital, and it is the ratio of the cash distributions to the LPs to the capital invested by the fund. RVPI stands for residual value to paid-in capital, and it is the ratio of the remaining value of the fund's portfolio to the capital invested by the fund. TVPI, DPI, and RVPI are useful metrics to track the progress and performance of a VC fund over time, as well as to benchmark it against other funds and market indices. However, they also rely on the accuracy and consistency of the fund's valuation methods and reporting standards.
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- 🎯 Pawel Maj I share my knowledge and experience as ex-partner of three VC and PE-growth funds, as well as a startup fundraising advisor (between 2021-2022 i was closing on average one round per month).
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Of course LPs (limited partners) track both TVPI and DPI. However, from their perspective, single most important metrics is DPI since it shows how much of capital was distributed back to its investors. Also, since DPI doesn't rely on valuations of portfolio (which is never truly objective/accurate, especially in case of private-held companies). BTW, as all other metrics, TVPI and DPI should increase over time - the older the vintage year of a fund, the higher TVPI and DPI should be.
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- Harsh*t Dhawan IIM Bangalore (2025) | IIT Roorkee (2019) | ex Razorpay, Tesco, GE
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A TVPI value greater than 1 indicates that the VC fund has generated positive investment returns. For example, a TVPI of 1.5 means that for every dollar invested by limited partners (LPs), the VC fund has returned $1.50. Conversely, a TVPI below 1 indicates that the fund still needs to recoup capital invested. TVPI however does not account for time value of money!
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- Elon Salfati Doubling Startups Success | $1M ARR Product-Market Fit | Salfati Group CEO 🇮🇱🇨🇭🇺🇸
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TVPI and DPI provide layered insights into both realized and potential fund successes.🔹 Ensure transparent and frequent valuation updates to maintain metric accuracy. 🔹 Compare DPI and TVPI with peer funds to gauge relative performance. 🔹 Balance these metrics with qualitative assessments for comprehensive analysis.These metrics serve as fundamental indicators of both current and future fund health.
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5 Hit Rate and Exit Rate
Hit rate and exit rate are two metrics that measure the quality and quantity of the exits or liquidity events of a VC fund's portfolio companies. Hit rate is the percentage of the fund's portfolio companies that achieve a successful exit, such as an acquisition or an IPO. Exit rate is the percentage of the fund's invested capital that is returned to the LPs through a successful exit. Hit rate and exit rate are important indicators of the fund's ability to identify, support, and exit high-potential companies. However, they also depend on the fund's investment strategy, stage, sector, and cycle, as well as on the external market conditions and trends.
Venture capital is a complex and dynamic field that requires sophisticated and nuanced methods of performance evaluation. The metrics discussed above are some of the most common ones, but they are not exhaustive or definitive. Each metric has its own strengths and weaknesses, and none of them can capture the full picture of a VC fund's performance. Therefore, it is advisable to use a combination of metrics, along with qualitative and contextual factors, to assess the performance of a VC fund and its portfolio companies.
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Ever felt like you're spinning the roulette wheel when tracking the success of a VC fund? I once bet on a start-up that was like the dark horse in a derby. The Hit Rate and Exit Rate became my go-to metrics. Think of Hit Rate as counting the number of winners out of the starting gate—those that made it big through acquisitions or IPOs. And Exit Rate? It’s like tallying up the winnings from those bets. Both are vital for knowing if you’re in the green, but they don’t tell you everything. It’s a mix of skill, strategy, and sometimes, just good old luck. #divineintervention #gabenfreude
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- Elon Salfati Doubling Startups Success | $1M ARR Product-Market Fit | Salfati Group CEO 🇮🇱🇨🇭🇺🇸
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Hit Rate and Exit Rate are critical for evaluating both strategic alignment and execution success.🔹 Cultivate a robust exit strategy to enhance both Hit Rate and Exit Rate. 🔹 Monitor external market trends to anticipate impacts on these rates. 🔹 Integrate rate analysis with broader performance reviews for strategic adjustments.Optimizing these rates is crucial for sustained investment success and strategic refinemen
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6 Here’s what else to consider
This is a space to share examples, stories, or insights that don’t fit into any of the previous sections. What else would you like to add?
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- Rodrigo Ferreira LP | Backing VCs across the 🌍 and doubling down on their breakout founders
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When looking at emerging managers the financial metrics alone will most likely not be enough to properly assess the opportunity.Especially in early-stage focused funds, by the time a fund manager is raising their second fund very little will have changed in the prior fund in terms of DPI, TVPI, etc.Other metrics that can be helpful when looking at an early fund can be re-up rate of existing LPs, co-investor base, graduation rate, average valuation uptick, average round size vs market averages, average ownership, consistency of ownership and ticket size, etc. Essentially other things that can indicate whether or not a fund manager is showing signs of outperformance and how closely they executed on the portfolio construction strategy.
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- Oli Harris Impact VC @ Series A+ | Trustee | 2 x Founder | FCIM
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Very common metrics that will need to be understood by both sides of a deal (aside from what is mentioned above) to help make a genuine decision.LTV - How much is each client actually worth over a period of timeARR - As opposed to R, what amount will come back and how much falls off (churn)CAC - How much does it cost to get the person that pays - how does this stack up Vs LTVTTMR - What was the revenue for the previous 12 months? This is often a line in the sand for many investors and attempts to delineate what stage the companies are at in terms of growthThere are so many more but on a daily these are pretty useful.
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Ever felt like you're navigating the wild west of venture capital metrics? Beyond the standard MOIC, Hit Rate, and Exit Rate, there's a universe of nuanced factors worth exploring. I remember diving into the impact of external market conditions on a fund's performance—it felt like trying to predict the weather in an alternate universe! It’s essential to remember that VC isn't just about the numbers; it’s also about the stories behind the startups. Every investment is a narrative, and understanding these can give you an edge. Remember, sometimes the devil—or angel—is in the details. #divineintervention #gabenfreude
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