Venture Capital Outlook 2024 | Nixon Peabody LLP (2024)

U.S. venture capital (“VC”) investing is expected to increase, according to the 2024 U.S. Venture Capital Outlook recently published by Pitchbook, a financial data and software company

Following a turbulent 2023, Pitchbook makes several positive projections for 2024:

  • Positive economic signals in 2023 indicate a comeback in IPOs in 2024.
  • U.S. VC fundraising is expected to increase, making it stronger than 2023 and comparable with 2020 figures.
  • The number of insider-led rounds as a proportion of all U.S. VC deals will be on par with or exceed the 2023 annual level.
  • Flat or declining interest rates in 2024 will lead to an increase in U.S. VC deal activity with nontraditional VC investor participation.

The turbulence of 2023 included the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), which set off anxiety and skepticism among investors. After the initial shock, however, the SVB collapse led to little disruption throughout the year. Now, as public markets begin to restabilize, increased demand for IPOs should create a realistic pathway for worthy VC-backed startups and corresponding liquidity for investors.

Pitchbook suspects a market reset is in process, which will boost this trajectory throughout 2024. Financial markets had high-interest rates and rapid inflation over the past year, both of which played a major factor in hindering market activity. Key indicators such as deal flow, exit opportunities, and regulatory changes provide insights into the potential for a rebound. While there are insufficient indicators to support an immediate significant rebound, an interest rate decline in 2024 and a slowdown of inflation should create a less risky environment for early and late-stage investors and ultimately drive dealmaking.

Insider-led funding rounds have become increasingly common. While this can result in higher valuations and more control for existing investors, it raises concerns about inflated valuations (due to a lack of true third-party market pricing) and limited influence for new investors and stakeholders (potentially resulting in stagnant strategic decision-making).

Importantly, dry powder, the amount of committed but unspent capital within the investment fund community, remains high in 2024. According to Pitchbook, more than 4,000 funds have been raised since the start of 2020. With substantial capital available, we expect to see significant pressure to deploy capital and shed the risk-averse approach of 2023.

PitchBook predicts that if interest rates remain flat or decline in 2024, not only will VC dealmaking increase, but we will see an increase in nontraditional VC investor participation. Since 2022, there has been a sharp decline of nontraditional investors in the VC space, which ran concurrently with the spike in interest rates that began in March 2022. If we see interest rates trending down, signs point to a potential drive in nontraditional investors seeking higher returns through alternative spaces, such as VC.

Venture Capital Outlook 2024 | Nixon Peabody LLP (2024)

FAQs

Is it hard to get into venture capital? ›

Venture Capital jobs are scarce, and the competition for them is fierce—which is why you need to build a mousetrap to get one. Your objective as an Aspiring VC is to be top of mind at your dream VC firm when a job finally opens. Naturally, it is possible to apply to job openings posted on various platforms.

What is the biggest secret in venture capital? ›

Peter Thiel in Zero to One: > The biggest secret in venture capital is that the best investment in a successful fund equals or outperforms the entire rest of the fund combined.

What percentage of venture capital investments succeed? ›

Almost 7 percent of VCs in the sample — 825 out of 12,195 — had founded a venture-capital-funded startup. Nearly 30 percent of these startups were successful, while about 12 percent were unsuccessful.

What is venture capital Harvard? ›

The Harvard Undergraduate Venture Capital Group's core mission is to drive innovation by connecting founders with investors. We do so by offering our members the ability to identify promising founders, whose startups serve as successful investments for our Partner VCs.

Does venture capital pay well in 2024? ›

While ZipRecruiter is seeing annual salaries as high as $199,000 and as low as $34,000, the majority of Venture Capital salaries currently range between $71,500 (25th percentile) to $119,500 (75th percentile) with top earners (90th percentile) making $165,500 annually across the United States.

How to crack a VC interview? ›

For VC, your strengths should include points like “communication/presentation skills,” “networking ability,” and “being able to update your views quickly” (i.e., strong opinions, loosely held).

What are the 4 C's of venture capital? ›

Let's not invite that risk, and instead undertake conviction, compliance, confidence and consequences as an industry. It can not only help us preserve the best parts of the current industry, but also lead to better investments and a healthier innovation sector.

Can you get rich as a venture capitalist? ›

Venture capital is a “get rich slowly” job where the potential upside lies decades into the future. If your main goal is becoming wealthy ASAP or advancing up the ladder as quickly as possible, you should look elsewhere.

What is the biggest risk in venture capital? ›

There are two main risks when it comes to taking on venture capital: 1) The risk of not getting the investment; and 2) The risk of not being able to pay back the investment. The first risk is that your startup won't be able to raise the money it needs from investors.

What is a good ROI for venture capital? ›

The expected ROI for Series A investments can vary widely, but generally, investors aim for a return ranging from 3x to 10x their initial investment. However, it's important to note that the actual ROI can be influenced by factors such as market conditions, industry dynamics, and the startup's growth trajectory.

What happens to VC money if startup fails? ›

If the startup fails, they will not only lose their original investment but also any potential returns that they might have earned had the startup been successful.

What is the 100 10 1 rule for venture capital? ›

100/10/1 Rule - Investor screens 100 projects, finance 10 of them, and be lucky & able to enough to find the 1 successful one. Sudden Death Risk - Where the founder stops/loses capability to work on the idea. Investors usually choose the incubator strategy to avoid this risk.

Do I need an MBA for venture capital? ›

While many VCs earn their MBA, many others join venture capital firms before getting an MBA. Most pre-MBA hires have worked in prestigious management consulting, investment banking, or operational roles within successful startups or tech companies (e.g. sales, business development, or product management).

Is Shark Tank venture capital? ›

Do the Sharks Use Their Own Money? The sharks are venture capitalists, meaning they are "self-made" millionaires and billionaires seeking lucrative business investment opportunities.

Where do venture capitalists get their money? ›

The capital in VC comes from affluent individuals, pension funds, endowments, insurance companies, and other entities that are willing to take higher risks for potentially higher rewards. This form of financing is distinct from traditional bank loans or public markets, focusing instead on long-term growth potential.

Is venture capital a hard job? ›

It is a challenging career path, but it can also be one of the most rewarding, both financially and intellectually. So, if you are passionate about entrepreneurship, innovation, and investing, a career in venture capital might be just the right fit for you.

How hard is it to get into venture university? ›

Venture University is the "Ivy League" for angel investing, venture capital, and private equity, with an acceptance rate of <2%, making it more competitive to get into than an Ivy League school, the Ivy equivalents (MIT, Stanford, etc.), and top MBA programs.

How much money do you need to get into venture capital? ›

Many venture capitalists will stick with investing in companies that operate in industries with which they are familiar. Their decisions will be based on deep-dive research. In order to activate this process and really make an impact, you will need between $1 million and $5 million.

Is there a high demand for venture capitalists? ›

Although demand continues for experienced VC professionals, it's important to remember that the industry remains small and very difficult to break into (especially for recent college graduates with little or no operational or deal-making experience).

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