Surviving a recession: the best funds to invest in (2024)

The rapid and severe impact of the coronavirus pandemic and the restrictive measures to manage it have severely depressed the global economy. The baseline forecast from the World Bank predicts the greatest global recession in eight decades, with a 5.2 per cent decline in the global gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020 when the pandemic started.

Investment funds were not spared from the damage brought by the global health crisis. These vehicles play a significant role in the global financing of the real economy and other financial institutions. Fortunately, investment funds survived the market upheaval that began in March 2020.

Still, investors are still constantly concerned about declining stock prices and how they may affect their portfolios whenthe economy approaches a recession. Out of concern for impending drops and escalating losses, investors flee stock funds in search of safety by turning to bond funds.

In this blog, we will discuss the types of investment funds that are traditionally more resistant during challenging economic conditions like recessions.

Surviving a recession: the best funds to invest in (1)

Types of funds that will do well during a recession

No company or industry is totally immune to an economic crisis, thus there is no such thing as a “recession-proof” investment fund. Additionally, markets can be unpredictable at any time, but certain stocks, funds and strategies may be able to assist your portfolio to perform better during a recession.

If you are looking for investments that can withstand a downturn to lower risk in your portfolio, here are the types of funds that will do well in a recession:

Hedge Funds

Hedge funds are a good choice if you desire higher risk with a chance of higher returns. Hedge funds don’t simply focus on booming bull markets; they try to generate money in all markets. They combine various advanced strategies like arbitrage, hedging, futures and options contracts, shorting particular equities and other complex techniques.

However, before you invest any money in hedge funds, ensure that you understand how they operate as well as the associated dangers. Beware that hedge funds have high expense ratios due to their active management.

Low-Volatility Funds

Risk is measured by volatility, and funds with low volatility are created to fluctuate less in response to market conditions. They frequently have lesser returns, but that’s what you get when you go for low risk.

These funds often search an index or market for the least volatile funds before investing. This means that they include a wide variety of stock types, including companies in utilities and the healthcare industry.

Additionally, some low-volatility funds look for equities that have little correlation to one another. As a result, the fund becomes more varied and has more exposure to other industries.

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)

A collection of investments like stocks or bonds is referred to as an exchange-traded fund or ETF. ETFs enable you to make many simultaneous investments in assets, and they frequently have cheaper costs than other types of funds.

Buying individual stocks can be a better choice if you focus on generating above-average returns. Given the high likelihood of their recovery from any crisis, ETFs are one of the safest investments during a recession.

A fund is frequently safer to own than a single stock because of the benefits of diversification that ETFs offer, including lower risk and less volatility.

Index Funds

A specific market index is tracked or replicated by an index fund, a type of mutual fund. You may develop a diverse portfolio with this form of investing that is generally interactive and generates respectable returns.

Because market fluctuations are typically less volatile across an index than they are for individual equities, index funds can help investors balance the risk in their portfolios.

Dividend Funds

Despite the common misconception that the stock market is a source of growth, there are other ways to profit from the market than share price increase. For instance, mutual funds that prioritise dividends might offer solid returns with lower volatility than funds that only focus on growth.

Many investors look to dividend stocks as a reliable source of market gains when inflation is high. Furthermore, the fact that dividend-stock funds have survived most recessionary times strengthens the argument that they can be a good addition to a portfolio.

Bond Funds

Bonds, particularly government bonds, are viewed as safe haven securities with a very low default risk. With a minimal necessary commitment, bond funds offer investors immediate diversification. Bonds are known for being low-risk and low-return investments that help balance a high-risk portfolio.

Money Market Funds

Money market funds can protect your assets during a recession, but only as a temporary fix and not for long-term growth. In times of economic uncertainty, money market funds offer liquidity for cash reserves that can help you build your portfolio.

Money market funds make investments in short-term, comparatively safe securities that mature in about 13 months on average.

How can fund administrators help fund managers and investments during a recession?

To launch your funds during a recession, you need the ideal resources and assistance. A fund administrator is a crucial partner in charge of monitoring and assessing the financial performance of the fund.

A fund administrator digs deep into your finances and often seeks to improve fund management. They are accountable for developing a strategic investment plan that balances your risk appetite with your financial objectives, managing your reserves and ensuring that you consistently make the best financial decisions. In addition, fund administrators can help fund managers to diversify their portfolios during a recession by introducing various types of investments.

Partnering with Bolder Group

In times of recession, it is essential to have a trusted partner who can handle the situation better and provide solutions to survive an economic challenge. As an independent global organisation, Bolder Group’s fund industry experts offer specialised services to clients.

Ready to take the first step towards being recession-proof? Contact our team today or visit our office near you.

Surviving a recession: the best funds to invest in (2)
Surviving a recession: the best funds to invest in (2024)

FAQs

Where should I put my money during a recession? ›

Still, here are seven types of investments that could position your portfolio for resilience if recession is on your mind:
  • Defensive sector stocks and funds.
  • Dividend-paying large-cap stocks.
  • Government bonds and top-rated corporate bonds.
  • Treasury bonds.
  • Gold.
  • Real estate.
  • Cash and cash equivalents.
Nov 30, 2023

What is the best portfolio for a recession? ›

Healthy large cap stocks also tend to hold up relatively well during downturns. Investing in broad funds can help reduce recession risk through diversification. Bonds and dividend stocks can provide income to cushion investors against downturns.

What are the best stocks to invest in during a recession? ›

The best recession stocks include consumer staples, utilities and healthcare companies, all of which produce goods and services that consumers can't do without, no matter how bad the economy gets.

Which mutual fund is best in a recession? ›

Best funds to invest in during a recession

Small-cap funds can be a good option for aggressive investors with long-term time horizons. A risk-averse person can consider investing in a multi-asset mutual fund as it invests in various asset classes such as stocks, gold, debt, etc.

Where is the safest place to put money if banks collapse? ›

1. Federal Bonds. The U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve (Fed) would be more than happy to take your funds and issue you securities in return. A U.S. government bond still qualifies in most textbooks as a risk-free security.

What should not do in a recession? ›

What Are the Biggest Risks to Avoid During a Recession? Many types of financial risks are heightened in a recession. This means that you're better off avoiding some risks that you might take in better economic times—such as co-signing a loan, taking out an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), or taking on new debt.

What stocks do worst in a recession? ›

Equity Sectors

On the negative side, energy and infrastructure stocks have been the hardest-hit in recent recessions. Companies in these sectors are acutely sensitive to swings in demand. Financials stocks also can suffer during recessions because of a rising default rate and shrinking net interest margins.

Is cash king during a recession? ›

It will give them the funds to buy stocks or other assets during the decline. Because of how precious cash can be during times of financial stress, many have said that cash is king. The phrase means that having liquid funds available can be vital because of the flexibility it provides during a crisis.

How do you invest wisely during a recession? ›

5 Things to Invest in When a Recession Hits
  1. Seek Out Core Sector Stocks. During a recession, you might be inclined to give up on stocks, but experts say it's best not to flee equities completely. ...
  2. Focus on Reliable Dividend Stocks. ...
  3. Consider Buying Real Estate. ...
  4. Purchase Precious Metal Investments. ...
  5. “Invest” in Yourself.
Dec 9, 2023

Who makes money during a recession? ›

Companies in the business of providing tools and materials for home improvement, maintenance, and repair projects are likely to see stable or even increasing demand during a recession. So do many appliance repair service people. New home builders, though, do not get in on the action.

What sectors thrive in a recession? ›

10 Businesses that Thrive in a Recession
  • Auto repair shops and service providers. ...
  • Home repair and improvement businesses. ...
  • Plumbing and electrical services. ...
  • Food and beverage companies. ...
  • Healthcare services. ...
  • All pet-related services and product offerings. ...
  • Residential and commercial cleaning companies.
Oct 2, 2023

What investments did well during the Great Depression? ›

The best performing investments during the Depression were government bonds (many corporations stopped paying interest on their bonds) and annuities.

What mutual funds are recession proof? ›

1. Federal Bond Funds. Options to consider include federal bond funds, municipal bond funds, taxable corporate funds, money market funds, dividend funds, utilities mutual funds, large-cap funds, and hedge funds.

What is the safest investment if the stock market crashes? ›

Money held in an interest bearing account like a money market account, a savings account or others is generally safe from losses stemming from a stock market decline. Bonds, including various Treasury securities can also be a safe haven.

Should I withdraw my mutual fund before recession? ›

No, you shouldn't sell your mutual funds before a recession. Even if you're uncomfortable with the market price decline, overreacting and selling mutual funds at a loss when there is a market drop or recession isn't a sound strategy. It's best to set aside cash for use during recessions and before a market downturn.

Should I take my money out of the bank before a recession? ›

Your money is safe in a bank, even during an economic decline like a recession. Up to $250,000 per depositor, per account ownership category, is protected by the FDIC or NCUA at a federally insured financial institution.

Is it bad to have money in the bank during a recession? ›

If you have money in a checking, saving or other depository account, it is protected from financial downturns by the FDIC. Beyond that, investment products are more exposed to risk, but you can still take some steps to protect yourself. Here's what you need to know.

How much cash should you hold in a recession? ›

Finance Experts All Say the Same Thing

They all said the same thing: You need three to six months' worth of living expenses in an easily accessible savings account.

References

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