Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (2024)

Data Source: from January 1871 to April 2024 (~153 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2024
Live Update: May 31 2024, 04:00PM Eastern TimeCurrency: USD

PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)

0.48%

1 Day

May 31 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time

2.88%

Current Month

May 2024

The Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio is a Medium Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 5 ETFs.

It's exposed for 30% on the Stock Market and for 15% on Commodities.

In the last 30 Years, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio obtained a 7.42% compound annual return, with a 7.42% standard deviation.

Table of contents

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (1)

The first official book of Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (2)

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Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

The Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
ETF
Currency
ETF NameInvestment Themes (Orig.Currency)
30.00

VTI

USDVanguard Total Stock MarketEquity, U.S., Large Cap (USD)
40.00

TLT

USDiShares 20+ Year Treasury BondBond, U.S., Long-Term (USD)
15.00

IEI

USDiShares 3-7 Year Treasury BondBond, U.S., Intermediate-Term (USD)
7.50

DBC

USDInvesco DB Commodity TrackingCommodity, Broad Diversified (USD)
7.50

GLD

USDSPDR Gold TrustCommodity, Gold (USD)

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Apr 30, 2024

The Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:

  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.

May 2024 return is calculated on the hypothesis of a newly built portfolio, with the starting asset allocation.

RAY DALIO ALL WEATHER PORTFOLIO

Consolidated returns as of 30 April 2024

Live Update: May 31 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time

Swipe left to see all data

Chg (%)Return (%)Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2024
1 DayTime ET(*)May 20241M6M1Y5Y10Y30YMAX
(~153Y)
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio0.482.88-3.7210.781.733.954.537.426.29
US Inflation Adjusted return-4.028.77-1.57-0.221.634.754.08
Components

VTI

USDVanguard Total Stock Market0.7704:00PM, May 31 20244.76-4.3420.7321.9412.2711.7210.299.12

TLT

USDiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond0.6804:00PM, May 31 20242.89-6.457.60-14.07-4.430.105.084.73

IEI

USDiShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond0.3504:00PM, May 31 20241.31-1.732.58-1.38-0.070.884.234.46

DBC

USDInvesco DB Commodity Tracking-0.4704:00PM, May 31 2024-0.301.61-0.133.909.23-0.414.162.63

GLD

USDSPDR Gold Trust-0.5904:00PM, May 31 20241.622.9915.0914.6511.825.485.912.99
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1871
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Apr 2024. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 3.36% , 5Y: 4.18% , 10Y: 2.85% , 30Y: 2.55%

Live update: World Markets and Indexes

In 2023, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio granted a 2.60% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2024

An investment of 1$, since May 1994, now would be worth 8.55$, with a total return of 754.99% (7.42% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4.02$, with a net total return of 301.82% (4.75% annualized).

An investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 11469.11$, with a total return of 1146811.15% (6.29% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 456.94$, with a net total return of 45594.20% (4.08% annualized).

Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2024

Metrics of Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio, updated as of 30 April 2024.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:

  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.

RAY DALIO ALL WEATHER PORTFOLIO

Advanced Metrics

Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 30 April 2024 (~153 years)

Swipe left to see all data

Metrics as of Apr 30, 2024
1M3M6M1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
(~153Y)
Investment Return (%)-3.72-1.1110.781.73-1.403.954.536.457.426.29
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details -4.02-2.228.77-1.57-6.54-0.221.633.754.754.08
US Inflation (%)0.311.141.853.365.504.182.852.602.552.12
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.

DRAWDOWN

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)-9.24-20.58-20.58-20.58-20.58-20.58-37.02
Start to Recovery (# months) details 528*28*28*28*28*68
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012022 012022 011929 09
Start to Bottom (# months)39999933
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092022 092022 091932 05
Bottom to End (# months)2191919191935
End (yyyy mm)2023 12-----1935 04
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
Start to Recovery (# months) details
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012022 012022 011929 09
Start to Bottom (# months)39999933
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092022 092022 091932 05
Bottom to End (# months)2191919191935
End (yyyy mm)2023 12-----1935 04
Longest negative period (# months) details 736*4646464684
Period Start (yyyy mm)2023 052021 052020 012020 012020 012020 011925 07
Period End (yyyy mm)2023 112024 042023 102023 102023 102023 101932 06
Annualized Return (%)-2.82-1.40-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.03
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)-10.10-27.84-27.84-27.84-27.84-27.84-47.73
Start to Recovery (# months) details 532*32*32*32*32*124
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082021 092021 092021 092021 092021 091916 03
Start to Bottom (# months)3262626262652
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102023 102023 102023 102023 102023 101920 06
Bottom to End (# months)26666672
End (yyyy mm)2023 12-----1926 06
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
Start to Recovery (# months) details
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082021 092021 092021 092021 092021 091916 03
Start to Bottom (# months)3262626262652
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102023 102023 102023 102023 102023 101920 06
Bottom to End (# months)26666672
End (yyyy mm)2023 12-----1926 06
Longest negative period (# months) details 12*36*60*105105105341
Period Start (yyyy mm)2023 052021 052019 052015 022015 022015 021892 04
Period End (yyyy mm)2024 042024 042024 042023 102023 102023 101920 08
Annualized Return (%)-1.57-6.54-0.22-0.37-0.37-0.37-0.01
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress

RISK INDICATORS

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Standard Deviation (%)11.8011.7010.338.397.737.426.56
Sharpe Ratio-0.30-0.350.200.390.660.690.35
Sortino Ratio-0.46-0.490.280.540.880.930.50
Ulcer Index3.5311.959.356.955.224.394.58
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation0.15-0.120.380.540.831.000.96
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown0.19-0.070.190.220.310.360.17
% Positive Months details 50%50%56%60%65%66%63%
Positive Months61834721562391173
Negative Months618264884121667

LONG TERM RETURNS

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized4.538.5710.2815.23
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized3.993.991.87
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized1.636.547.6210.91
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized1.181.18-4.65

ROLLING PERIODS

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized27.4416.3513.0810.289.327.42
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-19.45-2.923.143.996.10
% Positive Periods87%96%100%100%100%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized85.6029.0820.2411.627.407.44
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized---1.353.935.59
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized24.2913.4210.467.626.924.75
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-25.24-8.18-0.861.183.44
% Positive Periods82%93%98%100%100%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized85.6029.0820.2411.627.407.44
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized---1.353.935.59
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Over all the available data source (Jan 1871 - Apr 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized47.7524.1320.9915.2312.5211.60
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-24.95-12.66-3.711.872.823.26
% Positive Periods82%96%98%100%100%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized85.6025.5913.957.514.523.49
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized-----0.46
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized58.2220.5017.1410.918.567.91
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-25.24-14.36-11.08-4.65-1.460.32
% Positive Periods69%83%87%91%97%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized85.6025.5913.957.514.523.49
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized-----0.46
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com

Terms and Definitions

  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.

Talking about withdrawal rates, how would you manage your early retirement with the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio? Read more here

Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.

COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS

Monthly correlations as of 30 April 2024

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If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

RAY DALIO ALL WEATHER PORTFOLIO

Drawdown periods

Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted

Data Source: 1 May 1994 - 30 April 2024 (30 Years)

Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 30 April 2024 (~153 years)

Inflation Adjusted:

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Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (2024)

FAQs

What is the average return of Ray Dalio's all-weather portfolio? ›

As of Jun 25, 2024, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio returned 4.11% Year-To-Date and 5.09% of annualized return in the last 10 years.

Does Ray Dalio's all-weather portfolio work? ›

In the last 30 Years, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio obtained a 7.50% compound annual return, with a 7.43% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -20.58% that required 29 months to be recovered.

What is the asset allocation for the All weather fund? ›

Remember the asset allocation for the All Weather Portfolio: 40% long-term bonds, 30% stocks, 15% intermediate-term bonds, 7.5% gold, and 7.5% commodities. That's the goal asset allocation you should have when you're finished rebalancing.

What is the return of bridgewater all weather? ›

According to Bridgewater Associates, the average annual return for the All Weather Portfolio from 1996 to 2020 inclusive was 9.7%. The average annual return of the S&P 500 for the same period was 7.6%.

What is the yield of the all-weather portfolio? ›

The Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio granted a 2.60% dividend yield in 2023. Video Player is loading.

What is the composition of the all-weather portfolio? ›

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio Asset Allocation

30% U.S. Stocks. 40% Long-Term Treasury Bonds. 15% Intermediate-Term Treasury Bonds. 7.5% Commodities.

Is there an all weather ETF? ›

The Harbor Commodity All-Weather Strategy ETF (HGER) seeks to provide investment results that closely correspond, before fees and expenses, to the performance of the Quantix Commodity Index.

Is Ray Dalio retiring? ›

The company's website still lists Dalio, who announced his retirement from the company in October 2022, as a mentor to its CIOs and as a member of its governing board.

What stocks are Ray Dalio buying? ›

Billionaire Ray Dalio Just Bought These 5 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks
  • NVDA.
  • MSFT.
  • GOOG.
Jun 3, 2024

What is the all-weather portfolio structure? ›

A common allocation for this portfolio is 30% equities, 55% long-term bonds, 15% intermediate-term bonds, and smaller allocations to commodities and gold.

How to invest in an all-weather portfolio? ›

One of the best ways to create an all-weather portfolio is to allocate 10-15% of your portfolio to gold. You need not keep it invested in physical gold but you can also hold in the form of gold bonds or gold ETFs. These are equally effective.

What is the most successful asset allocation? ›

Finding the right mix for your portfolio. One of the first things you learn as a new investor is to seek the best portfolio mix. Many financial advisors recommend a 60/40 asset allocation between stocks and fixed income to take advantage of growth while keeping up your defenses.

What is the Dalio All Weather fund? ›

About Ray Dalio's All Weather

Ray Dalio's All Weather portfolio is an investment strategy designed to perform well across different economic conditions. The goal of the All Weather portfolio is to generate consistent returns while minimizing risk, regardless of the economic environment.

What is the all weather strategy? ›

All weather funds typically have flexible investment strategies that allow them to diversify across asset classes and utilize alternative techniques, such as sector rotation or macro-hedging, in order to manage for varying market changes.

What is the historical return of Bridgewater? ›

Bridgewater's Pure Alpha fund averaged a compound annual return of 1.5 percent per year from January 2012 to December 31, 2022. That's a total 11-year return of 17.8 percent. That barely beat inflation. Meanwhile, the global stock market index averaged 8.93 percent over the same time period.

What is the average expected return of a portfolio? ›

The basic expected return formula involves multiplying each asset's weight in the portfolio by its expected return, then adding all those figures together. In other words, a portfolio's expected return is the weighted average of its individual components' returns.

What is the risk parity of an all-weather portfolio? ›

Portfolios that incorporate stocks and bonds along with inflation-sensitive assets like commodities, and seek to balance risk between these three legs of the stool, are often called “Risk Parity” or “All-Weather” portfolios.

What is the average portfolio return over time? ›

5-year, 10-year, 20-year and 30-year S&P 500 returns
Period (start-of-year to end-of-2023)Average annual S&P 500 return
5 years (2019-2023)15.36%
10 years (2014-2023)11.02%
15 years (2009-2023)12.63%
20 years (2004-2023)9.00%
2 more rows
May 3, 2024

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