Last updated on Feb 10, 2024
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Identify portfolio risks
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Analyze portfolio risks
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Plan portfolio risk responses
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Monitor and review portfolio risks
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Managing multiple projects at once can be challenging, especially when it comes to identifying and mitigating the potential risks that could affect your strategic goals. That's why creating a project portfolio risk register is a crucial step in project portfolio management (PPM). A project portfolio risk register is a document that lists and prioritizes the risks across your portfolio of projects, along with their causes, impacts, and responses. It helps you to monitor and control the uncertainties and threats that could derail your portfolio performance and alignment. In this article, we'll show you how to create a project portfolio risk register in four simple steps.
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- Giovanni Sisinna 🌟18x LinkedIn Top Voice: Artificial Intelligence, Generative AI, Cybersecurity, Portfolio-Program-Project Management…
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- Anand Abhishek Project Manager at EY | Ex-Honeywell | IIT Dhanbad | Google Project Management Certified | 30x Top Voice
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1 Identify portfolio risks
The first step is to identify the possible risks that could affect your portfolio as a whole, as well as the individual projects within it. You can use various techniques to gather information from different sources, such as brainstorming, interviews, surveys, checklists, historical data, and expert opinions. You should consider both internal and external factors, such as resource availability, stakeholder expectations, market conditions, regulatory changes, and technological issues. You should also look for interdependencies and correlations among projects, as they could create or amplify risks.
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In navigating PPM, crafting a risk register is akin to preparing for a strategic chess match. Drawing from my experience, identifying portfolio risks demands a holistic approach. I recall a complex software integration initiative where, during the risk identification phase, a seemingly minor project delay rippled across interconnected systems. By considering interdependencies and scrutinizing external factors, we unearthed potential disruptions. This foresight allowed us to proactively reallocate resources, mitigating the risk's impact. Embracing such comprehensive risk identification not only safeguards individual projects but fortifies the entire portfolio against unforeseen challenges, ensuring strategic success.
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- Giovanni Sisinna 🌟18x LinkedIn Top Voice: Artificial Intelligence, Generative AI, Cybersecurity, Portfolio-Program-Project Management, Data Science-Management, Business Strategy, Technological Innovation🌟Director Program Management
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💡 In project portfolio risk management, a deeper dive into the identification process is crucial for a comprehensive understanding.🔍 Risk Source AnalysisIdentifying the origins of potential risks, like operational processes, organizational structure, and project methodologies, helps anticipate issues.🌐 Global PerspectiveAcknowledging geopolitical shifts, economic trends, and regulatory changes is vital for risk assessment in our interconnected world.🔗 Project InterlinkagesUnderstanding how projects within a portfolio interact is essential, as it can lead to compounded risks.📌 To enhance the project portfolio risk register, analyze risk sources, adopt a global outlook, and consider project interdependencies.
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Portfolio's risk registers define the risks -- both threats and opportunities -- and include the risk owner, cause, effect, status, probability and cost, time and customer impacts and fields. They track any detailed actions used to mitigate the probability and impact of risks using a mitigation plan and waterfall charts. They map risk to tasks in WBS items, and define the impact a risk has on each task or WBS item to which it it mapped.
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- Ishpinder S. Kailey, MBA, PhD, PfMP, PMP Leader | Strategist | Innovator | Achiever | Visionary | Futurist | Connector| Portfolio, Program and Project Management | Agile Coach | Value Stream Consultant | Entrepreneur | Prosci® Certified Practitioner
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The creation of a portfolio risk register is an iterative process. Begin by clearly outlining the scope and objectives of the portfolio and engage in the identification of relevant stakeholders. Conduct brainstorming sessions with stakeholders to identify potential risks and opportunities that could impact the portfolio. Leverage historical data from previous portfolios and identify risks pertinent to the current portfolio. Conduct a comprehensive analysis, including a PESTLE analysis for macroeconomic factors, Porter's five forces analysis for industry insights, and a SWOT analysis for a holistic understanding of the company. These analyses aid in recognizing both internal and external factors that may pose risks to the portfolio.
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2 Analyze portfolio risks
The next step is to analyze the identified risks and assess their probability and impact on your portfolio objectives and criteria. You can use qualitative or quantitative methods, or a combination of both, depending on the availability and quality of data and the complexity of the risks. Qualitative methods involve rating the risks based on their likelihood and severity, using scales or matrices. Quantitative methods involve estimating the numerical values of the risks, using tools such as Monte Carlo simulation, decision trees, or sensitivity analysis. The purpose of this step is to prioritize the risks and determine which ones require more attention and resources.
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- Anand Abhishek Project Manager at EY | Ex-Honeywell | IIT Dhanbad | Google Project Management Certified | 30x Top Voice
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To analyze portfolio risks, categorize them by type and impact, assess their probability and severity, prioritize them based on potential harm, and develop mitigation strategies accordingly. Regularly review and update the risk register.
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- Dr. Mohamed Zohry Ph.D.| Certified Consultant and Lead Auditor (Risk,TQM, QMS, EMS, OHSMS)| EGAC Assessor| QHSE Director
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In addition to qualitative and quantitative methods for analyzing portfolio risks, it's also crucial to incorporate scenario analysis into your risk assessment strategy. Scenario analysis involves creating and evaluating different hypothetical situations that could affect your portfolio. This method allows you to understand how various changes in the market, economic conditions, or specific events could impact your investments.
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3 Plan portfolio risk responses
The third step is to plan how to respond to the prioritized risks, based on their level of exposure and your risk appetite and tolerance. You can choose from four main strategies: avoid, transfer, mitigate, or accept. Avoid means eliminating the risk or its source, transfer means shifting the risk or its consequences to a third party, mitigate means reducing the probability or impact of the risk, and accept means acknowledging the risk and its potential effects. You should also assign roles and responsibilities for implementing the risk responses, and allocate the necessary budget and time.
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- Anand Abhishek Project Manager at EY | Ex-Honeywell | IIT Dhanbad | Google Project Management Certified | 30x Top Voice
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To plan portfolio risk responses:1. Prioritize Risks2. Develop Strategies3. Assign Responsibilities4. Monitor and Adjust
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- Dr. Mohamed Zohry Ph.D.| Certified Consultant and Lead Auditor (Risk,TQM, QMS, EMS, OHSMS)| EGAC Assessor| QHSE Director
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Contingency Planning:Develop plans for risks that might materialize, outlining specific actions to take if they occur.Escalation Procedures:Establish clear guidelines for escalating risks to higher management when they exceed certain thresholds.Diversification:Spread out investments or resources across various projects or sectors to reduce exposure to any single risk.Risk Tracking and Reporting Tools:Implement systems and tools for tracking risk responses and reporting on their effectiveness.
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- Ahmed Atia El Sabbagh Medical Planner
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As expected, the philosophy of portfolio risk management isn't different than that of a project as per the article.On the scale of a portfolio, risks should be identified using WBS, brain storming, etc.; addressing the main +ve and -ve risks along with the major stakeholders.Then Risks shall be sorted according to both probability and impact on the portfolio and risk plan should be prepared.The plan should have the risks sorted along with the appropriate responses to each risk, the impact of this response and its forecasted outcome.During the progress of the portfolio, the risk management plan shall be monitored, assessed and modified if necessary.
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4 Monitor and review portfolio risks
The final step is to monitor and review the portfolio risks and their responses, and update the risk register accordingly. You should track the status and performance of the risks and their triggers, indicators, and outcomes, using tools such as dashboards, reports, or audits. You should also evaluate the effectiveness and efficiency of the risk responses, and identify any new or emerging risks, or changes in existing risks. You should communicate and report the results of your risk monitoring and review to the relevant stakeholders, and ensure that the risk register reflects the current situation and expectations of your portfolio.
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- Anand Abhishek Project Manager at EY | Ex-Honeywell | IIT Dhanbad | Google Project Management Certified | 30x Top Voice
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In my understanding, to keep track of portfolio risks:1. Check regularly.2. Look at important numbers.3. Talk to involved people.4. Change plans if needed.5. Keep good records.
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- Saud Albaiz PMO | EPMO | Program Management | Project Management | Transformation, Innovation, and Business Growth | Aligning Strategy, Executing Excellence,and Elevating Business Impact
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To manage portfolio risks effectively:1- Monitor Risks: Regularly check the status of risks using tools like dashboards or reports.2- Assess Responses: Evaluate how well your strategies are working against these risks.3- Spot New or Changing Risks: Stay alert for any new risks or changes in existing ones.4- Communicate Updates: Keep stakeholders informed about risk status and management efforts.5- Update Risk Register: Keep your risk register current to reflect the latest risk landscape.
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5 Here’s what else to consider
This is a space to share examples, stories, or insights that don’t fit into any of the previous sections. What else would you like to add?
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