Evaluating Hedge Fund Risk (2024)

Hedge funds have become a hot topic over the past decades as the number of funds has grown exponentially, while receiving increased media attention and attracting billions in investment dollars. While most people have a basic understanding of what they are, many investors are not familiar with the underlying types of hedge funds and their opaque risks.

Key Takeaways

  • Hedge funds come in all shapes and sizes, employing various investment strategies and investing in different asset classes.
  • As a result, evaluating a hedge fund's risk and performance must be done on an individualized basis that uses the proper benchmark and risk metrics for its particular style.
  • In addition, some unique risks common to most hedge funds must be evaluated such as the possibility of fraud, regulatory action, or market illiquidity.

Types of Funds

While the hedge fund universe is wide, and often funds can fit into multiple categories, funds are generally classified as either equity-focused or fixed-income.

Beyond this very basic definition, funds can be broken down into any number of sub-categories, depending on their investment strategies. Some common fund types include:

  1. Long-Short Funds:Funds that take both long and short positions in securities in hopes of using superior stock picking strategies to outperform the general market.
  2. Market-Neutral Funds: A sub-type of a long-short fund wherefund managers attempt to hedge against general market movements (thus the name).
  3. Event-Driven Funds: An attempt to capture gains from market events, such as mergers, natural disasters, or political turmoil.
  4. Macro Funds: Funds that take directional bets on the market as a whole, either long or short, based upon research andthe fund's philosophy.
  5. Funds of Funds:Hedge funds that holda diversified portfolio of investments in other hedge funds.

Regardless of the type of hedge fund, there are numerous universal risks that basically every fund investor must take into careful consideration.

Hedge Fund Risks

While every type of fund may have a different set of risks for its investors to consider, there are three basic types of risks which are shared by the entire hedge fund industry.

Investment Risk

The biggest and most obvious risk is the risk of investors losing some or all of their investment. A key quality of hedge fund investment risk is the virtual Wild West landscape of the hedge fund industry (though strides have been made since the 2008 financial crisis). Fund managers for the most part have free reign over the investment decisions they make in chasing alpha with their portfolios. Unlike many other types of institutions, hedge funds are not regulated. While a fund may be tagged as a global blue-chip equity fund, and in most respects would be considered a relatively "safe" hedge fund investment, the strategies implemented by fund management, such as the use of excessive leverage, can create levels of investment risk not expected by investors.

Some specific types of investment risk include:

  • Style Drift: Style drift occurs when a manager strays from the fund's stated goal or strategy to enter a hot sector or avoid a market downturn. Although this may sound like good money management, the reason an investment was made in the first place in the fund was due to the manager's stated expertise in a particular sector/strategy/etc., so abandoning his or her strength is probably not in the investors' best interests.
  • Overall Market Risk: Both equity and fixed-income funds, and overall directional move by the equity markets, can play a big role on the returns of a fund. For equity funds, although many may claim to be market neutral or have a zero beta, it is very difficult in practice to achieve such a balance, as the equity markets can move very quickly in either direction—especially down. In times of crises, correlations go to one, so even the most diversified portfolio will not be safe from a market crash. Widening credit spreads are the biggest threat to the performance of fixed-income funds. Since most fixed-income funds take long positions in corporate bonds and short positions in comparable treasuries, adverse economic movements can cause the simultaneous increase in corporate yields while the Treasury yields fall, thus widening the spreads between positions and hurting the funds' performance.
  • Leverage: The use of leverage within the hedge fund industry is commonplace, since a smart leveraged position can magnify gains. But as we all know, leverage is a double-edged sword and even a small move in the wrong direction can put a major dent in a fund's returns, especially those funds which speculate heavily in commodities and currencies.

Fraud Risk

The risk of fraud is more prevalent in the hedge fund industry compared to mutual funds, due to the lack of regulation for the former. Hedge funds do not face the same stringent reporting standards as other funds, and therefore the risk of unethical behavior on the part of the fund and its employees is heightened. There have been numerous media reports of hedge fund managers who have bilked investors out of huge sums of money in order to lead lavish lifestyles or cover up constant losses for the fund. Knowing your hedge-fund manager and staying abreast of the literature provided to you by the fund are keys to protecting yourself from investment fraud.

Operational Risk

Lastly, operational risk refers to the shortcomings of the policies, proceduresand activities of a hedge fund and its employees. For example, quite often hedge funds deal in the over-the-counter market, where positions can be tailor-made to suit the needs of the involved parties. The biggest issue with OTC securities is in valuing them on an ongoing basis, since they are not publicly traded and very illiquid. This issue came to light in the early stages of the 2008 credit crisis, when, seemingly, no two institutions were able to accurately value the mortgages and asset-backed securities that had flooded the marketplace in the early 2000s. The very nature of the hedge-fund industry creates operational inefficiencies, and thus operational risks.

The Bottom Line

By being able to recognize the type of hedge fund along with its strategy, you should be able to identify potential risks associated with the fund. It's clear that the hedge-fund industry will only continue to grow, and having a strong grasp on what moves the industry will put you in a position of strength going forward.

Evaluating Hedge Fund Risk (2024)

FAQs

How do you evaluate hedge funds? ›

Some key methods for measuring performance include:
  • Cumulative performance. Cumulative performance is calculated as the aggregate percentage change in a fund's net asset value (NAV) over a given timeframe. ...
  • Sharpe ratio. ...
  • Sortino ratio. ...
  • Drawdown.

Why are hedge funds considered a high risk form of investment question 6 of 10? ›

Hedge funds are investment pools managed by managers through investments of borrowed money to maintain the value of money and profits. Hedge funds are risky because they use borrowed money to be able to buy as many assets as possible.

How to benchmark hedge fund performance? ›

Comparing a hedge fund or hedge fund index's Sharpe Ratio to the S&P 500's Sharpe Ratioii is a good way to benchmark performance for hedge funds. drop below 10% and topped out at over 30%. From 2010-2012, hedge funds have consistently outperformed the S&P 500 when their returns are measured using the Sharpe Ratio.

What is a good Sharpe ratio for a hedge fund? ›

From an investor's perspective, this means that a 5% expected return with a Sharpe of 2.0 and above is much more preferable to a 35% expected return with a low Sharpe of, say, 0.5. In summary, a hedge fund is more likely to survive if it has leverage and high Sharpe ratios.

What is the 2 20 rule for hedge funds? ›

The 2 and 20 is a hedge fund compensation structure consisting of a management fee and a performance fee. 2% represents a management fee which is applied to the total assets under management. A 20% performance fee is charged on the profits that the hedge fund generates, beyond a specified minimum threshold.

What is the main way to evaluate funds? ›

To compare the performance of funds you've owned for different periods of time, you use annual percent return, which is percent return divided by the number of years you've owned the fund.

Are hedge funds very risky? ›

The Bottom Line. Hedge fund investing is considered a risky alternative investment choice and requires that investors can make a large minimum investment or have a high net worth. Hedge fund strategies involve investing in debt and equity securities, commodities, currencies, derivatives, and real estate.

Are hedge funds riskier than private equity? ›

Both offset their high-risk investments with safer investments, but hedge funds tend to be riskier as they focus on earning high returns on short time frame investments. It is hard to make a generalization on the level of risk, as individual funds vary so much based on their investing strategies.

What percentage of investments should be high risk? ›

High-risk investments are unsuitable for all but experienced investors who fully understand both the risks and the opportunities associated with these investments. You should put no more than 10% of your total net assets in high-risk investments, with the remainder diversified across a range of mainstream investments.

What are the metrics for fund risk? ›

They are alpha, beta, standard deviation, r-squared, and the Sharpe ratio. These statistical measures are historical predictors of investment risk/volatility, and they are all major components of modern portfolio theory (MPT).

What is a good Sortino ratio for a hedge fund? ›

As a rule of thumb, a Sortino ratio of 2 and above is considered ideal.

What is the ROI of a hedge fund? ›

Based on recent data, the average annual return on investment for investors in a typical hedge fund is around 7.2%, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.86 and market correlation of 0.9. However, it's important to note that performance can vary significantly among different hedge funds.

How to evaluate hedge funds? ›

The best method to evaluate relative performance is to define a list of peers, which could include a cross-section of traditional mutual funds, equity or fixed-income indexes and other hedge funds with similar strategies.

What is a realistic Sharpe ratio? ›

Usually, any Sharpe ratio greater than 1.0 is considered acceptable to good by investors. A ratio higher than 2.0 is rated as very good. A ratio of 3.0 or higher is considered excellent. A ratio under 1.0 is considered sub-optimal.

How do you calculate hedge fund performance? ›

Take the ending balance of your hedge fund account before it imposes its fees and divide it by the balance that you had at the beginning of the period. Subtract 1 and then multiply by 100, and the result gives you your percentage gross return from your hedge fund investment.

How are hedge funds valued? ›

The value of a hedge fund management enterprise is based on its expected flow of fund management and incentive fees.

What indicators do hedge funds use? ›

One of the most popular measures of risk-adjusted returns used by hedge funds is the Sharpe ratio. The Sharpe ratio indicates the amount of additional return obtained for each level of risk taken.

What type of analysis do hedge funds use? ›

Hedge funds can use a variety of investment strategies, including both fundamental and technical analysis. The specific approach used by a hedge fund depends on its investment philosophy, goals, and the expertise of its management team.

References

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